Research Shows 75% of the World’s Land Facing Ongoing Drying Patterns

Research Shows 75% of the World’s Land Facing Ongoing Drying Patterns


# The Escalating Peril of Global Aridity: UN Report Sheds Light on a Worldwide Crisis

In a groundbreaking report released by the **UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)**, researchers have disclosed a significant transformation in Earth’s climate: **over three-quarters of the planet’s terrestrial expanse has become consistently drier** in recent years. This occurrence, termed **aridification**, signifies a lasting, relentless alteration to ecosystems and human livelihoods, with consequences that go far beyond what many might expect.

Covering the period from 1990 to 2020, the report unveils a startling truth: while transient droughts may fluctuate, the growing aridity represents a **new status quo**, reshaping the physical and ecological characteristics of our world. This article explores the findings, their ramifications, and the way forward for humanity amidst a swiftly evolving climate.

## Distinguishing Aridity from Drought

A crucial insight from the report is the importance of distinguishing between **drought** and **aridity**. While droughts are temporary occurrences of reduced rainfall, **aridity denotes a persistent climatic condition where water availability is always inadequate to fulfill the ecosystem’s demands**. Essentially, areas undergoing aridification are unable to revert to their former, wetter conditions, fundamentally altering local ecosystems and lifestyles.

**Ibrahim Thiaw**, the Executive Secretary of the UNCCD, succinctly articulated the gravity of the situation:
> _”Droughts have an end. However, when a region’s climate turns drier, the ability to revert to previous states becomes unattainable. The drier climates currently impacting vast regions worldwide are unlikely to revert to their former conditions.”_

The stakes are monumental, as nations must now prepare for a future where enduring dryness becomes a characteristic feature rather than a sporadic obstacle.

## The Scope of Aridity’s Expansion

The magnitude of this shift is remarkable. According to the UN report:

– **77.6% of Earth’s terrestrial surface** has experienced increasing dryness from 1990 to 2020.
– Global **drylands have expanded by 4.3 million square kilometers**, an area comparable to around one-third of India’s entire land area.
– Currently, **40.6% of the Earth’s landmass (excluding Antarctica) is categorized as drylands**, showcasing the swift encroachment of aridity on ecosystems globally.

Regions most severely affected by this trend include **Europe** (with approximately 95.9% of its land experiencing drying trends), parts of the **western United States**, **Brazil**, **eastern Asia**, and **central Africa**.

For the **2.3 billion individuals—over a quarter of the global populace—residing in drylands**, these developments underscore a pressing urgency. Experts caution that, under extreme climate scenarios, this figure could rise to **5 billion by 2100**, posing significant challenges in areas such as **food security**, **water resources**, and **climate adaptability**.

## Widespread Effects on the Planet

The implications of escalating aridity reverberate across the globe. Among the most alarming findings from the report are the following cascading repercussions:

### 1. **Food Security in Peril**
Increasing aridity now **impacts 40% of the world’s cultivable land**, emerging as the primary factor driving agricultural degradation globally. Limited water for irrigation and deteriorating soil quality place traditional farming methods under pressure, jeopardizing the global food supply.

### 2. **Economic Decline**
The trend towards dryness is damaging not only ecosystems but also national economies. In **Africa**, for instance, aridification is believed to have caused a **12% dip in GDP** between 1990 and 2015, worsening financial strain and hindering economic advancement.

### 3. **Increase in Dust Storms**
Rising aridity in areas like the **Middle East** has been associated with a rise in the **frequency and severity of sand and dust storms**, leading to health risks, decreasing air quality, and disrupting transportation and infrastructure.

### 4. **Wildfire Risk Intensification**
As surfaces become drier, the likelihood of **wildfires** escalates. Growing aridity transforms vegetation into kindling, a trend already observed in fire-prone regions such as California, Australia, and parts of the Mediterranean.

### 5. **Sudden Ecosystem Shifts**
The report cautions that **20% of global land could undergo sudden ecosystem shifts** by the end of the century, with many areas losing the ability to sustain current forms of life and vegetation.

The interconnected nature of these repercussions accentuates the urgency of confronting aridity as a comprehensive challenge instead of addressing each effect in isolation.

## Moving Forward

Confronted with an increasingly arid world,